— Insights

Letters and notes from the desk.

Quarterly letters, market notes, and policy briefs prepared by the firm's investment, legal, and family-office partners. Written for the families and counsel we serve, and circulated more broadly when the subject warrants it.

Featured · Quarterly Letter 28 April 2026 · Margaret Ashford, CIO

The Long, Slow Pivot: Allocation in a Two-Speed World

For the first time in a decade, real yields, term premia, and equity risk premia are giving back coherent signals. Capital is leaving where it was crowded and arriving where the underwriting is honest. We discuss why the firm is moving steadily — not dramatically — into private credit, real assets, and concentrated public equity, and why the largest single source of alpha in 2026 is the willingness to do less.

Read the letter

— Browse by category

Commodities

Copper, Lithium & the New Currency of Industry

14 April 2026 · Jonathan Okonkwo, Head of Real Assets

Industrial metals are pricing a slow, structural shift toward electrification and grid build-out. We look at the supply backwardation in copper, the bifurcation of the lithium curve, and where multi-decade owners should source duration in the cycle.

Read · 9 min

Real Estate

Private Real Estate at the Trough

31 March 2026 · Jonathan Okonkwo

Office values are still distressed; logistics and multifamily have re-rated from peak; trophy hospitality is quietly recovering. We argue that the right time to buy real estate is when the people who run it can no longer pretend it's easy — which is now.

Read · 11 min

Private Markets

Why Direct Investment Continues to Crowd Out Funds

18 March 2026 · Theodore Westcott, Head of Private Markets

Direct ownership has structural advantages over commingled vehicles for families that can underwrite in-house: alignment, fee economics, and most importantly, the ability to hold through a cycle without a manager calling time. We outline the playbook the firm uses across two-dozen direct positions.

Read · 12 min

Family Office

The Finnegan Capital Family Office Survey 2026

04 March 2026 · Augusto Ribeiro, Head of Family Governance

Drawing on conversations with 47 single-family offices and our own engagement book, we report on what families are actually doing — not what they say at conferences. Allocation shifts, governance practices, and the quiet rise of the next generation as decision-makers.

Read · 18 min

Geopolitical

Sovereign Risk in a Multipolar Order

17 February 2026 · Margaret Ashford

Sovereign risk is not a peripheral-markets phenomenon any longer. We examine how the new strategic geometry — between the United States, the European Union, China, and a more autonomous Gulf — is reshaping where capital can sit safely for thirty years.

Read · 14 min

Currencies

The Quiet Erosion of the Dollar's Premium

05 February 2026 · Sofia Marchetti, Head of Public Markets

The dollar is not at risk of replacement. It is, however, at risk of repricing. We discuss why the safety premium long enjoyed by US assets has thinned, where the marginal saver is moving, and what a 5–10% structural reweighting away from the dollar would mean for a multi-currency family balance sheet.

Read · 10 min

Credit

Private Credit Beyond Two Trillion

22 January 2026 · Sofia Marchetti

Private credit has crossed $2 trillion in assets under management and is now larger than the high-yield bond market. We look at where the discipline still holds — senior secured, sponsor-aligned, downside-priced — and where it has begun to look uncomfortably like 2007 mezzanine.

Read · 13 min

Tax & Policy

Inheritance Reform: Five Jurisdictions to Watch in 2026

08 January 2026 · Eleanor Pemberton, Director, Estate & Tax

The United Kingdom, France, South Korea, Brazil, and the United States are all moving on the taxation of multigenerational wealth — in different directions, on different timetables, and with different second-order effects. A practitioner's map of what is coming, and what to do about it now.

Read · 15 min

Stewardship

Stewardship vs. Impact: A Distinction Worth Keeping

20 December 2025 · Naomi Inoue, Head of Philanthropy

"ESG" has collapsed into a category that tells you almost nothing about what a portfolio actually does. We propose returning to two cleaner ideas — stewardship of capital, and impact of capital — and why families have always understood the difference better than markets have.

Read · 8 min

Commodities · Real Assets

Gold as a Multi-Generational Holding

05 December 2025 · Sofia Marchetti

Gold does not pay a coupon. It does, however, pay an option on the failure of every other instrument we hold. For families with hundred-year horizons, the question is not whether gold belongs in the portfolio but how — physical, allocated, jurisdictionally diversified, and in what proportion to other reserves.

Read · 11 min

Tax & Policy

The Generational Cliff: Wealth Transfer Through 2050

18 November 2025 · Eleanor Pemberton

An estimated $84 trillion will move from one generation to the next over the coming twenty-five years in the United States alone. We discuss what that means for trust law, philanthropy, and the institutional infrastructure that has not been built to absorb it.

Read · 16 min

Real Assets

Agricultural Land at a Twenty-Year Premium

01 November 2025 · Jonathan Okonkwo

US row-crop land is at its highest real valuation in a generation, while permanent crops outside the United States have lagged. We look at the rotation we have begun making across our agricultural holdings and the underwriting we will not bend on, regardless of price.

Read · 12 min

Family Office · Governance

Family Constitutions: What Survives Three Generations

14 October 2025 · Augusto Ribeiro

Family constitutions are easy to write and difficult to enforce. We compare a dozen we have helped draft against a dozen that survived a generational handover — and find that the difference is rarely in the document itself, but in the ritual surrounding it.

Read · 14 min

Macro & Markets

Volatility and the Cost of Insurance

29 September 2025 · Margaret Ashford

Implied volatility on equity, fixed income, and currency is, by historical standards, cheap relative to the realised volatility of the past five years. We discuss when the firm pays for tail insurance, when it self-insures, and why the worst trade in the book is the one that is "almost" hedged.

Read · 9 min

Private Markets

The Search Fund Renaissance, with Caveats

12 September 2025 · Theodore Westcott

Family capital is an unusually good match for the search-fund model — patient, governance-friendly, and willing to underwrite the searcher rather than only the deal. We share our framework for backing searchers, the failure modes we have seen, and the disciplines a multi-generational allocator needs to bring.

Read · 13 min

Family Office

Single Family Office, Multi-Family Office, or Trustee?

28 August 2025 · Catherine Holloway, COO

Families ask the firm a version of the same question every year: should we build it ourselves, hire a firm to do it for us, or let a fiduciary hold the seat? A practitioner's view of the trade-offs — costs, control, recruiting, succession — and what we see actually working at different scales.

Read · 17 min

Letters and notes are circulated to clients and counsel of the firm. Selected pieces are made available publicly on a delay. To request a piece not listed here, write to research@finnegan.capital.

— The Quarterly

Four letters a year. Read by counsel.

Our quarterly letter is sent four times a year to clients, named counsel, and a small group of trusted readers. It is not marketed and there is no archive online. Written introductions are welcome.

Request a written introduction
Track Record Next — Leadership